Epidemiological Analysis
Using a population-based SIR model, we simulated the course of a flu outbreak and the effect of different vaccination rates.
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Background
As a basis for subsequent HEOR models, it was necessary to quantify how a flu outbreak would develop under different vaccination coverage rates and the resulting strain on the healthcare system.
Our Approach
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1
Development of a population-based SIR model to track the progression of an influenza outbreak.
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2
Scenario analysis of varying vaccination rates by age group.
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3
Assessment of the effects on infection dynamics, hospital admissions and the strain on the healthcare system.
Result
It was possible to assess how different vaccination rates affect infection dynamics, hospitalisations and the burden on the healthcare system – as a basis for subsequent HEOR models.
